Environmental Futures, 1st Edition

The Practice of Environmental Scenario Analysis

Environmental Futures, 1st Edition,J. Alcamo,ISBN9780444532930

J Alcamo   

Elsevier Science




240 X 165

THE first book about the methods of environmental scenario analysis - sums up the current practice of environmental scenario analysis and proposes directions for improving its quality and effectiveness.

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Key Features

* Comprehensive coverage and overview on environmental scenario analysis from a team of international experts
* First book to address key contemporary issues involved with environmental scenario analysis
* Gives guidelines for best practices
* Excellent starting base for first-time scenario practitioners
* Helps the reader to interpret scenarios and to place them into the correct context


As scientists and policymakers try to come to grips with problems such as climate change and risks to biodiversity, they turn more and more frequently to the method of scenario analysis to better understand the future of these problems. Over the last few years scenario analysis has become one of the key tools for bridging environmental science and policy. This is the first book to sum up the current practice of environmental scenario analysis and to propose directions for improving its quality and effectiveness. Chapters are written by an international group of distinguished scenario experts and provide an excellent starting basis for first-time scenario practitioners, as well as a collection of new ideas on improving scenario practice for experienced scenario analysts.


Primary audience:
Environmental professionals and researchers who use scenario analysis or interpret results;
environmental specialists in local, national, and international agencies or planning offices
Secondary audience:
University-level students in environmental study programs, and in city and regional planning programs

J. Alcamo

Affiliations and Expertise

Centre for Environmental System Research, Kassel, Germany

Environmental Futures, 1st Edition

Preface. 1.Introduction. 2. Towards Guidelines of Environmental Scenario Analysis. 3. Environmental Scenarios. A Survey. 4. Searching for the Future of Land: Scenarios from the Local to Global Scale. 5. Participation in Building Environmental Scenarios. 6. Combining Qualitative and Quantitative Scenarios of the Environment. 7. Scale Issues in Environmental Scenarios Development. 8. Trend Discontinuities and Surprises in Environmental Scenarios. 9. Closing Chapter.

Quotes and reviews

"A very good and inspiring contribution; opens up new insights and approaches." -- Dr. Karl-Heinz Simon, CESR
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